Mariners vs. Tigers Player Props: Today's Best ALDS Game 3 Prop Bets

The Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners split a pair of 3-2 games to open their ALDS as the series shifts to Detroit today, and my best Mariners vs. Tigers player props for Game 3 dive into which players should have the biggest impact on their team getting an edge.

Our MLB picks highlight a pitcher prop, back one batter's success, and fade one batter at the plate.  When the dust settles on this afternoon's action, one of these teams mired in the middle World Series odds will be one game from the ALCS.

The Mariners are trading as the -135 road betting favorite ahead of first pitch from Comerica Park in Detroit at 4:08 p.m. ET (FS1).

⚾ Mariners vs. Tigers player props: Game 3

MLB player prop bets for AL Divisional Series Game 3; odds subject to change.

• Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 strikeouts (-104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 total bases (+115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 total hits, runs, RBIs (-135 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best player prop bets for Mariners vs. Tigers Game 3

Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 strikeouts (-104) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Tigers boast a few powerful lefties in Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter. But the team struggles immensely against righties overall, which showed up during the regular season with Detroit's .712 OPS (21st) and .240 batting average (22nd) when facing a right-hander.

Most importantly for Logan Gilbert and his high-strikeout ways, the Tigers also sat third in strikeouts against righties. That includes one of those lefties in Greene walking back to the dugout 141 times after facing a righty.

Green finished second leaguewide with 201 strikeouts overall. His strikeout percentage sat at 30.7%, according to Baseball Savant, and fellow Tigers regulars Spencer Torkelson (26%) and Javier Baez (24.9%) weren't much better. Meanwhile, Gilbert is coming off a career-best 11.9 K/9.

If Gilbert can mow through this Tigers lineup like so many righties before him and rack up at least seven punchouts, a $10 wager using these market-best -104 odds from FanDuel would lead to a $9.62 payout, with an implied probability of 50.98%.

⬆️ Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 total bases (+115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The process was there for Julio Rodriguez throughout much of the regular season. The results? Not so much at times, though in the end he finished with a just fine thanks 32 home runs and a .798 OPS.

Much of that success came in the second half of the season, when Rodriguez put a scuffling first half (.252 batting average and .731 OPS) far behind him during the final months of the campaign (.290 batting average and a .900 OPS).

His surging hasn't slowed during the postseason, as Rodriguez has now gone into full volcano mode with four hits across nine at-bats, including a home run and a double. Now the white-hot outfielder gets to face Jack Flaherty, he of the 4.64 regular-season ERA. Flaherty's hard-hit rate has gone up significantly this season, moving from 35.9% a year ago to 43.8%. Rodriguez is also posting a .493 expected slugging against fastballs, a pitch Flaherty throws 46.9% of the time.

If Rodriguez keeps sizzling, a $10 bet at these appealing +115 odds from DratKings would lead to a profit of $11.50, with a 46.51% implied probability.

⬇️ Spencer Torkelson Under 1.5 hits, runs, RBI (-135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Spencer Torkelson has fallen into the deepest, darkest rut at a less-than-ideal time.

Torkelson is coming off a resurgent season when he tied a career high with 31 home runs. But more critically after selling out for power earlier in his career, his OPS made a bounding leap from .669 last year to a more respectable .789 now.

But he could become victim to the realities of postseason play, with its intense spotlight over a small sample size before a potentially quick exit, as his playoff slash line of .167/.348/.222 comes with a wretched odor.

Now he gets to oppose Gilbert, whose strikeout rate sits in the 94th percentile, and Torkelson has already struck out six times across 21 plate appearances this postseason. He's put up just a .190 expected batting average against breaking pitches, and Gilbert utilizes his slider and split-finger often.

If Torkelson's plummet continues, a $10 bet at these -135 odds from DraftKings would result in a $7.41 payout at an implied probability of 57.45%. Be sure to pounce on this number from DraftKings, as BetMGM is far shorter at -155.

If you don't like his plummet to continue, perhaps my colleague Mike Spector has something for you in his best home run predictions today.

🎟️ Mariners vs. Tigers most-bet props

Here are the most-bet props in the hours before first pitch, via BetMGM.

1. Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 strikeouts (-110)
2. Victor Robles Over 0.5 hits (-110)
3. Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 home runs (+260)
4. Kerry Carpenter Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs (+120)
5. Victor Robles Over 0.5 stolen bases (+475)

📊 Mariners vs. Tigers odds: Game 3

Latest MLB odds updated live in real time.

📺 How to watch Mariners vs. Tigers Game 3

• Date: Tuesday, Oct. 7
• First pitch: 4:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Comerica Park (Detroit)
• TV: FS1

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