Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea Prediction: Champions League Odds & Expert Picks
Bayern Munich hosts Chelsea today in the Champions League group stage opener, and my Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea prediction expects the hosts to impress ahead of the 3 p.m. ET kickoff at Allianz Stadium (Paramount+).
Bayern is the -150 betting favorite for today's match, and I'm backing star Harry Kane as part of my Champions League best bets and soccer picks.
⚽ Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea prediction
Soccer picks for Tuesday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Bayern Munich (-150 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Bayern Munich -0.5 (-164 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 3.5 goals (-160 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
🚑 Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea injuries
- Bayern will be without Raphael Guerreiro due to a "stomach muscles" injury.
- Chelsea star Joao Pedro is questionable for the match, as is winger Estevao.
📝 Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea best bet
Bayern Munich to win (-150) ⭐⭐⭐
Bayern Munich has lost one Champions League match in the last 23 at Allianz Arena, a 2-1 setback in last year's quarterfinal to Inter Milan. There should be a giant asterisk beside that defeat, though, as injuries to key personnel decimated Vincent Kompany's side.
The previous loss at home in this competition came in the 2021 quarterfinals to PSG.
As if it weren't obvious, the German champions love playing at home more than those frequenting Oktoberfest enjoy a beer stein. They are one of the preeminent Champions League odds favorites, with an unsurpassed pedigree and experience in this competition.
Meanwhile, the world champions have just re-entered the Champions League fold, and I expect a few teething pains early on.
Enzo Maresca's side, while constantly improving, is not the finished product, which was evident in their recent 2-2 draw at Brentford in the Premier League.
Bayern Munich is off to a perfect start in the Bundesliga, with 14 goals and two against in the first three matches.
While I don't love the short -150 odds, it's the bet I'm most confident backing. On this occasion, I prefer the slight decrease in potential profit rather than a pick I have my doubts about. Among the best sports betting sites, FanDuel offers the best odds, with a winning $10 bet yielding a $6.67 profit.
💰 Best Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea player prop bet
🔥 Harry Kane anytime goal (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
There are two guarantees in Munich: Seeing cars travel at breakneck speed on the Autobahn and Harry Kane scoring goals. I'm more interested in the latter.
Kane has five goals in the first three Bundesliga matches of the season, roasting RB Leipzig for a hat trick in the opener. He has 40 goals in 57 Champions League matches, with 19 in 25 since signing with the German juggernauts.
He also scored a goal the last two times he faced the Blues in the Premier League before leaving Tottenham.
bet365 has the best price for Kane to get off the mark in the Champions League, with its -110 odds paying a $9.09 profit. Caesars is at the other side of the spectrum, offering the least value (-140).
📊 Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea odds
Champions League odds update live in real time.
📈 Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea betting odds analysis
Bayern Munich's moneyline odds range from -150 to -165, an implied win probability of between 60% and 62.26%. The total is 2.5 or 3.5 goals. Neither is an appealing option, with the Under 3.5 juiced to -175 at BetMGM and the Over 2.5 at -200. Over 3.5 goals is at +125 and Under 2.5 +140.
🔢 Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea results
Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea history courtesy of 11v11.com.
| Date | Competition | Result | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 8, 2020 | Champions League | Bayern Munich 4-1 Chelsea | Allianz Arena (Munich) |
| Feb. 25, 2020 | Champions League | Chelsea 0-3 Bayern Munich | Stamford Bridge (London) |
| Aug. 30, 2013 | UEFA Super Cup | Bayern Munich 7-6 Chelsea (penalties) | Eden Arena (Prague) |
| May 19, 2012 | Champions League | Chelsea 5-4 Bayern Munich (penalties) | Allianz Arena (Munich) |
| April 12, 2005 | Champions League | Bayern Munich 3-2 Chelsea | Allianz Arena (Munich) |
📺 Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea game info
- When: Wednesday, Sept. 17
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Allianz Arena (Munich, Germany)
- How to watch: Paramount+
❓ Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea FAQs
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea?
Bayern Munich is the -150 betting favorite at FanDuel against Chelsea (+390).
What is the spread for Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea?
Bayern Munich (-0.5) is at -164 at DraftKings.
What is the Over/Under for Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea?
The total is 3.5 goals, with the Over at +125 and the Under -175.
What are the best bets for Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea?
My best bets are for Bayern Munich to win (-150) and Harry Kane to score (-110).
When is the Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea game?
Wednesday's Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea match starts at 3 p.m. ET.
How do soccer odds work?
When betting on soccer, the spread shows how many goals the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by 2 or more goals to cover the spread, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by fewer than 1 goal to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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